The Potluck

KSTP/Survey USA Poll: Trump trails Biden by 9 points in final stretch of campaign

By: - September 10, 2020 8:49 am

U.S. President Donald Trump speaks on stage during a campaign rally at the Target Center on October 10, 2019 in Minneapolis. (Photo by Stephen Maturen/Getty Images)

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 49% to 40% in a KSTP/Survey USA poll released Wednesday, with Biden leading among college-educated voters, as well as in the Twin Cities and its suburbs. 

The poll comes less than two months before Election Day, finding that of likely voters, 7% are still undecided and 4% said they would vote for other candidates.

Trump leads among high school educated voters and rural voters — particularly in northeastern and western Minnesota. Biden leads in the KSTP poll in southern Minnesota, in what could be a a sign of trouble for U.S. Rep. Jim Hagedorn, the Republican congressman who represents the First Congressional District. Hagedorn, who is under scrutiny for spending taxpayer funds with a company owned by a congressional aide and the brother of his former chief of staff, is facing a rematch against Democratic challenger, Dan Feehan.

Trump enters the final stretch of his reelection campaign in poor standing with a majority of Minnesotans. The KSTP poll found that he is viewed favorably by 39% of Minnesota voters, while more than half — 53% of voters — view him unfavorably. 

Women are far more likely to favor for Biden: 54% said they would vote for the Democratic nominee compared with 36% of women who said they would vote for Trump. Biden also holds a sizable lead among independent voters, leading Trump 47% to 30%.

Despite claims by the Trump campaign that its supporters are more energized, the poll suggests the opposite in Minnesota: “Among those who are 100% certain to vote, Biden leads by 13 (points),” the poll found. 

The poll was conducted Sept. 4 through Sept. 7 and surveyed 750 adults in Minnesota, including 553 likely voters, with a margin of error of 5.2 percentage points.

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Ricardo Lopez
Ricardo Lopez

Ricardo Lopez was a senior political reporter for the Reformer. Ricardo is not new to Minnesota politics, previously reporting on the Dayton administration and statehouse for The Star Tribune from 2014 to 2017, and the Republican National Convention in 2016. Previously, he was a staff writer at The Los Angeles Times covering the California economy. He's a Las Vegas native who has adopted Minnesota as his home state. In his spare time, he likes to run, cook and volunteer with Save-a-Bull, a Minneapolis dog rescue group.